The Lacuna Project

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Exhibit 696

The Insufficiency of 'Democracy by Coincidence': A Response to Peter K. Enns

Exhibit 696 ยท Peer-reviewed reply

The Insufficiency of 'Democracy by Coincidence': A Response to Peter K. Enns

There simply is not enough coincidence of policy outcomes and middle-class preferences to justify the conclusion that middle-income Americans are likely to be satisfied with the policies their government adopts.

Gilens agrees with Enns that congruence without influence is 'democracy by coincidence' and that it has political implications. He argues that the cases where policy departs from middle-class preferences are important, highly salient issues; that Enns's 'relative policy support' is vague; that Enns overlooks characteristics of the data and makes erroneous calculations; and that coincidence is no substitute for responsiveness. Only the first page (p. 1065) was read, as a page image from the publisher; pp. 1066-1071 were not available. Later literature (Elkjaer and Klitgaard 2024, p. 320) quotes p. 1070: coincidental representation is a 'pale, counterfeit, simulacrum of democracy'.

Source
Martin Gilens, Perspectives on Politics 13(4), pp. 1065-1071
Date
December 2015
Quoted from
p. 1065
Grade
Peer-reviewed
Document
https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592715002327
Accessed
2026-11-09
Cited by
Findings citing this exhibit

Cited by

Finding POL-2.6
Peer-reviewed Enns found that support for proposed policies among the 50th and 90th income percentiles correlates at r=.94, and at r=.68 among the 18 percent of policies where the two groups differ by more than 10 points. About 66 percent of adoption values predicted from middle-income preferences fall inside the 95 percent intervals of the values predicted from affluent preferences.