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Exhibit 1073

Updated Assessment on COVID-19 Origins

Exhibit 1073 ยท Declassified intelligence assessment

Updated Assessment on COVID-19 Origins

All agencies assess that two hypotheses are plausible: natural exposure to an infected animal and a laboratory-associated incident.

Key Takeaways: the IC judges the virus was not developed as a biological weapon; most agencies assess with low confidence that it probably was not genetically engineered (two agencies say evidence is insufficient); four IC elements and the National Intelligence Council assess with low confidence a natural origin; one element assesses with moderate confidence a laboratory-associated incident; the rest cannot choose. Both hypotheses are plausible to all agencies.

Source
Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Date
29 October 2021 (information through August 2021)
Quoted from
Key Takeaways, p. 1, second paragraph
Grade
Primary record
Document
https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/Declassified-Assessment-on-COVID-19-Origins.pdf
Accessed
2026-11-10
Cited by
Findings citing this exhibit
Note
Same page, label-correct side: 'We judge the virus was not developed as a biological weapon. Most agencies also assess with low confidence that SARS-CoV-2 probably was not genetically engineered; however, two agencies believe there was not sufficient evidence to make an assessment either way.' PDF creation date 29 October 2021; later agency assessments (FBI, DOE 2023; CIA January 2025) not read in primary form, see Gaps.

Cited by

Finding INF-5.8
Primary record On 26 May 2021 the President stated that the Intelligence Community had "coalesced around two likely scenarios" and had not reached a definitive conclusion. The Office of the Director of National Intelligence's assessment of 29 October 2021 says all agencies assess natural exposure and a laboratory-associated incident as plausible, that the virus was not developed as a biological weapon, and that most agencies assess with low confidence that it probably was not genetically engineered.